Research

IN-BRIEF: CHINA HONGQIAO (1378 HK)

China Hongqiao’s post-suspension share price appreciation might lead some to believe that fraud allegations have been addressed, but we are not entirely convinced. Even if investors can accept that the company had four different auditors in two years, they still have to grapple with a less than satisfactory response to fraud allegations and a very worrying set of financial statements containing similar traits to past frauds. The stock might be trading on 5x 2018 PER (assuming profits are real) but we would still be sellers. The cost of shorting is expensive at 9% but might be a strategy for risk…
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Insights

IN-BRIEF: CHINESE SPORTSWEAR

Another one bites the dust

Gillem Tulloch · 13 September 2018

Yet another sportswear company has blown up. In June, Hosa’s share price mysteriously collapsed 90% in a day. It has since been targeted by a short-seller, delayed its dividend, failed to submit interim financials and is now suspended. Hosa’s financials have similar traits to the nine previous frauds highlighted in our recent report on the Chinese sportswear sector, lending credibility to our argument that companies faking their sales have a unique set of financial characteristics. Furthermore, background research shows that many of Hosa’s management had links to companies embroiled in past scandals. We have devised a slightly more generic scan…
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IN-BRIEF: COMPLICIT AUDITORS

PWC gives Sunac and R&F a free pass

Nigel Stevenson · 29 August 2018

Imagine if fund managers could immediately revalue new investments to what they considered fair value. It would make a mockery of the industry and be considered unethical. In RARE circumstances, such as a forced sale, accounting rules allow buyers to book an immediate gain on the revaluation of acquired assets. Unfortunately, highly indebted Hong Kong audited companies are using this loophole to inflate their profits and equity. PWC has set the benchmark by allowing Sunac and R&F Properties to push through questionable revaluations of acquired assets. Incidentally, embattled commodities trader, Noble Group used similar gains on acquisitions to pad its…
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A&G MASTER SCREEN

New Product Launch

Gillem Tulloch · 23 August 2018

We’re pleased to launch our Accounting & Governance (A&G) Master Screen, a major new addition to our product line-up. This enables users to evaluate portfolio accounting risk, and to search for companies with specific accounting traits. A significant development is the introduction of positive accounting flags, as opposed to negative ones. This will, hopefully, help users find companies with desirable accounting traits, not just problematic ones. The screen has been pre-loaded with over 10,000 companies globallly, based on the latest year-end scores from six of our accounting modules, including Profit Manipulation (Beneish and Montier), Fake Cash Flow, Excess Capital, Acquisition Accounting and Debt…
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