Accounting Ratios

Operating Cash Flow Reconciliation

Operating cash flow that lags reported profit can be an indication of problematic accounting, suggesting that profits are being recognised in advance of when cash is received. A high level of accruals has been shown to be a useful predictor of future share price underperformance. Our Operating Cash Flow Reconciliation model is designed to highlight companies with a high level of accruals. The model will flash red each year that a company reports operating cash flow less than 20% of adjusted cash earnings but the model is only triggered when operating cash flow is low for two consecutive years. If triggered, a working capital analysis should be conducted to determine if the shortfall relates to a deterioration in terms of trade, aggressive revenue recognition or something else. We have designed a supplementary spreadsheet to aid this analysis which can be downloaded below.

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